As the European tech ecosystem continues to mature, venture capital investors are increasingly seeking solid data on IPO performance. In a landscape often dominated by US giants, Europe is beginning to carve its own path, and ScaleX Invest’s latest white paper provides valuable insights into this rapidly evolving sector.
In its recently published “European Tech IPO Barometer”, ScaleX Invest offers a data-driven analysis of the performance of European tech companies post-IPO. This white paper examines 52 publicly listed tech companies, focusing on IPOs conducted between 2015 and 2023 with market capitalisations exceeding €1 billion. By identifying the sectors, business models, and stock exchanges contributing to success, this report serves as an essential resource for investors looking to understand the drivers of successful tech IPOs.
1. The Dominance of Mature Tech Hubs
The study reveals that 50% of European tech IPOs with a market capitalisation above €1 billion originate from just three countries: the UK, Germany, and Sweden. This concentration underscores the role of long-established tech hubs in driving IPO success, while France lags behind with only three companies meeting this threshold during the period.
2. US Banks Lead, but European Underwriters Outperform Over the Long Term
While US financial institutions dominate the Lead Underwriter market, with JP Morgan involved in 39% of the IPOs, European banks deliver better long-term results. This suggests a more cautious and market-aligned approach to IPO pricing, contributing to sustainable stock performance. Deutsche Bank stands out among European underwriters, holding a 12% market share and ranking first in post-IPO stock performance.
3. Stock Exchange Dynamics: Frankfurt Stock Exchange Leading the Way
In terms of stock performance, European exchanges like Frankfurt SE outperform their US counterparts in post-IPO returns. With 22.2% annual average growth, Frankfurt emerges as a fertile ground for long-term tech stock growth. Despite the dominance of US exchanges in attracting European companies, the superior post-IPO performance of firms listed in Europe indicates that regional exchanges provide a supportive environment for sustainable growth.
4. The Importance of Maturity and Market Capitalisation
The white paper confirms that larger companies, with revenues exceeding €1 billion, tend to perform better after their IPO. This highlights the importance of revenue and market capitalisation in generating investor confidence. Smaller companies, however, often struggle to maintain their IPO valuations, raising questions about the right timing for going public.
5. Sector Performance: AI and CleanTech Shine
Among the sectors analysed, SaaS, AI, and CleanTech demonstrated the highest levels of outperformance in 2023. These sectors reflect the growing appetite among investors for companies that place R&D, sustainability, and scalability at the core of their strategies.
For investors and financial institutions, this white paper provides a roadmap for navigating the complexities of tech IPOs in Europe. By focusing on mature companies with solid business models and carefully selecting underwriters and exchanges, investors can seize the opportunities offered by the European market. In particular, investors are encouraged to focus on sectors such as AI and CleanTech, which have shown higher levels of resilience and growth.
The report also emphasises the crucial role of valuation discipline, especially in an environment where excessive IPO valuations can lead to significant corrections post-listing.
For a comprehensive and in-depth analysis of these findings, download ScaleX Invest's latest white paper. Equip yourself with the insights needed to capitalise on Europe's evolving tech landscape.
About ScaleX Invest
ScaleX Invest empowers venture capital funds, banks, and institutional investors with unique data to optimise their strategies and risk management. Our SaaS platform provides analytical tools to assess valuations, risk profiles, and the resilience of tech companies, from early development stages to IPO.